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IATA Chief talks about tariff uncertainties, EU’s sustainable aviation fuel and low cost carrier model

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The director-general of the International Air Transport Association (IATA), Willie Walsh, was in Singapore recently where he talked about strategic and significant issues facing the aviation industry. These include the uncertainties surrounding the impending U.S tariffs and the viability of low cost carrier models upon the exit of Qantas’ owned Jetstar. He also heavily criticised the EU’s sustainable aviation fuel (SAF).

U.S. tariffs may cause airlines to refuse delivery of aircraft

Airlines may be reluctant to take delivery of aircraft due to the ongoing uncertainty around U.S. tariffs and their impact on the cost of the planes, Walsh said, as reported by Reuters.

“It’s not just going to be a major Boeing and Airbus issue. It’ll impact all aspects of the aerospace industry and have an impact on most, if not all, airlines as well,” he said.

The 50% tariff that U.S. President Donald Trump plans to impose on Brazilian exports starting in August could hammer the revenue of planemaker Embraer like the COVID-19 pandemic did, its CEO Francisco Gomes Neto, warned last week, flagging risks to U.S. partners.

Neto said the tariffs would amount to a trade embargo on the regional jets it supplies to U.S. airlines and could trigger order cancellations, deferred deliveries and tough consequences for Embraer’s U.S. suppliers.

EU’s green fuel mandate costly, not helping environment

IATA also stepped up criticism of the European Union’s sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) mandate as a costly initiative that is not helping the environment as regional supplies there remain low.

“The idea that you’re buying sustainable fuel and then transporting it to use in Europe isn’t the right way to do it, because you’re clearly increasing the carbon footprint of that fuel as a result of the transportation costs,” Walsh said.

IATA estimated in June that production of SAF, which is considered a low carbon replacement for traditional jet fuel is expected to reach two million tonnes, or 0.7 per cent of airlines’ fuel consumption, in 2025.

“Mandating the use of a product that isn’t available doesn’t lead to any environmental benefit,” Walsh said, adding that fuel companies that have an obligation to produce SAF are also increasing the cost of traditional jet fuel.

By IATA’s assessment, he said “the cost that they’re charging is way in excess of the actual cost of the limited supplies of sustainable fuel”.

“The EU in effect has facilitated monopoly suppliers to increase prices with no environmental benefit,” said Walsh, adding that the region needs to re-evaluate its SAF targets.

Under the ReFuelEU Aviation requirement, airlines need to have a six per cent SAF blend in their jet fuel usage by 2030. The EU is offering some subsidies for SAF purchases by airlines, Reuters reported in June.

On the supply front, at least five SAF projects in Asia, outside of China, have started up or are earmarked to start production in 2025, targeting exports regionally and to Europe. Singapore is among key exporters of the green fuel to the EU.

Walsh also questioned the use of palm oil as a means to produce sustainable fuel.

“I think that you could argue there is sustainable palm oil and there is palm oil that wouldn’t be considered sustainable, and I think in some parts of the world there it’s too black and white,” Walsh said.

We need to have a much more “nuanced approach” to the usage of palm oil as a feedstock and “much more detailed assessment of the sustainability of the feedstock”, he added.

Low-cost carrier model remains viable, but may not work at every airport

The budget airline model is not dead, but it does not always work at every airport, said Walsh. He added that it probably does not make sense for budget carriers to operate at certain airports because of their nature or cost structure.

“Just because you see some low-cost airlines exiting the market, I don’t think you can read across that the business model is not relevant for the future,” he said. “I firmly believe it is and will continue to be. But it doesn’t always work at every airport. Airlines that are labelled budget or low-cost, that doesn’t necessarily guarantee their financial success.”

The viability of budget airlines at high-cost airports such as Changi Airport was thrust into the spotlight after Jetstar Asia said it was exiting Singapore at the end of July, flagging increased competition and operating costs as some push factors.

“Heathrow Airport is no different. For example, there’s no real low-cost operation at Heathrow, principally because of the cost of the airport and the access to slots.”

The airline industry is a highly competitive one, Walsh added. He pointed out that, although 408 new airlines were started in the past decade to December 2024, there were 420 failures as well, making a net loss of 12. Profitability on a global level is wafer-thin – the net profit margin this year is forecast at 3.7 per cent.

Photo Credit: Ivan Marc / Shutterstock.com



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American Airlines Reduces Daily Flight Frequency on Key New York-London JFK to Heathrow Route for Winter 2025-2026 Season: You Need to Know

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Monday, July 21, 2025

American Airlines has cut daily flight frequencies on its critical New York to London JFK to Heathrow route for the winter of 2025-2026. The strategic move reflects the airline’s efforts to adapt its operations to changing industry and demand dynamics. For November 2025 through March 2026, American Airlines plans to pare its schedule to three flights per day — previously four — to accommodate travel patterns and market conditions. The move forms part of a continual review of the airline’s long haul network to ensure its facing customer requirements, while maintaining a presence on the high traffic transatlantic corridor.

Adjustments to the Winter Schedule

This decision, backed by aviation data from Cirium, marks a shift in American Airlines’ operations on the JFK-LHR route. While four daily flights have been standard during the summer months, the airline will scale down during the winter, following a temporary reduction of one flight in May 2025. Despite this change, Heathrow will remain American Airlines’ sole direct destination in London from JFK, though the airline still offers connections to other London airports through its network of codeshare agreements.

American Airlines has been operating the JFK-LHR route for years, using its fleet of Boeing 777 aircraft, known for their luxurious, premium-heavy cabins that cater to long-haul passengers seeking comfort and convenience.

Aircraft Configuration and Seating

American Airlines’ Boeing 777-200ER is configured with 273 seats in a four-class layout: 37 business class, 24 premium economy, 66 economy plus, and 146 standard economy. Meanwhile, its Boeing 777-300ER has a larger capacity, seating up to 304 passengers across five classes, including 8 in first class, 52 in business class, 28 in premium economy, 28 in economy plus, and 188 in economy class. These configurations are designed to provide a comfortable and efficient long-haul experience for both premium and economy travelers on this competitive transatlantic route.

Strong Competition on the JFK-LHR Route

The route between JFK and LHR is one of the most important and lucrative international corridors, with high demand and limited slots at both airports. As a result, American Airlines faces fierce competition from other major carriers including British Airways, Delta Air Lines, JetBlue Airways, and Virgin Atlantic, all of which operate direct flights between the two airports.

British Airways, which dominates the JFK-LHR route, operates eight daily flights. While American Airlines reduces its daily frequency to three flights in the winter, British Airways will maintain its full schedule. Through their codeshare partnership, the two airlines will offer a total of 11 daily flights between JFK and LHR throughout the winter months, further solidifying their shared dominance on this high-traffic route.

Airlines Operating the JFK-LHR Route (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026)

Airline Daily Flights
American Airlines 3x daily
British Airways 8x daily
Delta Air Lines 2x daily
JetBlue Airways 2x daily
Virgin Atlantic 4x daily

JetBlue and Delta will continue operating their twice-daily services, with JetBlue flying the Airbus A321LR and Delta deploying a mix of Airbus A330neo and Boeing 767-400 aircraft. Virgin Atlantic, on the other hand, will continue its four daily flights using the Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner. The stiff competition reflects the ongoing strong demand for travel between New York and London.

Enhanced Premium Offerings to London

As part of its strategy to cater to the growing demand for premium travel, American Airlines is increasing its premium seating options on flights to London. The airline has introduced newly configured Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners equipped with Flagship Suite business class seats, which will be deployed more frequently to Heathrow. These aircraft will also serve additional routes from Chicago O’Hare (ORD), Philadelphia (PHL), and Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) to London.

These Boeing 787-9 aircraft are configured with a premium-heavy cabin that includes 51 Flagship business class suites, 32 premium economy seats, and 161 economy seats. This setup is designed to meet the high demand for business and premium services on long-haul flights to one of the world’s busiest business travel destinations.

Additionally, American Airlines has received approval from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) to operate its premium-heavy Boeing 787-9 aircraft with one less cabin crew member. This adjustment allows the airline to staff these aircraft with seven crew members instead of the usual eight, helping to streamline operations while maintaining service quality on its premium flights.

Conclusion

The move by American Airlines to lower the number of flights on its JFK-LHR route for winter 2025-2026 is part of the carrier’s continual efforts to be more in tune with market demand and to stay competitive on the strategically important transatlantic sector. And yes, there will be less frequency, but American will still offer a premium experience, with premium seating on its newly reconfigured aircraft. The interline agreement with British Airways means that customers will continue to have a wide range of choice of flights, competition and service to support one of the world’s most popular travel destinations.



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These Are The Most Affected US Airlines By Pratt & Whitney Engine Groundings Today

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Pratt & Whitney has recalled a significant number of its PW1000G geared turbofan (GTF) engines due to a manufacturing defect affecting certain high-pressure turbine and compressor components. This has led to the grounding of numerous aircraft, including models from the Airbus A320neo family, A220, and Embraer E-Jet E2, that are powered by these engines.

Simple Flying examines which US airlines are most affected by the issues of Pratt & Whitney PW1000G engines today. Data from ch-aviation shows that out of 664 aircraft in the United States powered by the PW1000 series engines, 64 are currently listed as stored or undergoing maintenance.

Spirit Airlines Faces The Largest Impact

Photo: Markus Mainka | Shutterstock

It is important to note that ch-aviation does not specify the reasons why these aircraft are in storage. However, it is likely that many have been taken out of service for engine maintenance, particularly in connection with the GTF recall, though some may be grounded for other reasons.

According to the data, 64 aircraft powered by PW1000-series engines are currently listed as stored or undergoing maintenance. The impact spans seven airlines and one private operator, with Spirit Airlines being the most affected. Of Spirit’s Airbus A320neo fleet, 39 aircraft are grounded, while the remaining 52 are still in active service. Spirit Airlines has voiced its frustration over the groundings of its GTF-powered fleet.

Recently, however, the airline extended its agreement with Pratt & Whitney to help offset the financial impact of grounding its Airbus A320neo aircraft, which use PW1100G engines. Under the updated deal, Spirit will receive an additional $150 million to $195 million in liquidity in 2025, similar to the support it received in 2024. The budget airline previously stated that issues related to the GTF engines, including accelerated removals and inspections, are expected to continue through 2026.

Seven Airlines, One Private Operator Affected

Photo: Minh K Tran | Shutterstock

In addition to Spirit Airlines, six other carriers and one private operator have grounded several GTF-powered aircraft, according to ch-aviation. JetBlue Airways and Delta Air Lines appear to be similarly affected.

The data shows that JetBlue currently has five Airbus A321neos and four Airbus A220-300s in storage. Delta Air Lines has also grounded a comparable number, with four Airbus A321neos and four Airbus A220-300s listed as stored. Other affected airlines with GTF-powered aircraft marked as stored, undergoing maintenance, or under repair include Frontier Airlines, United Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Breeze Airways.

Airline

Number Of Aircraft Stored/Grounded

Breeze Airways

1 Airbus A220-300

Delta Air Lines

4 A321neos and 4 A220-300s

Frontier Airlines

4 Airbus A321neos

Hawaiian Airlines

1 Airbus A321neo

JetBlue Airways

5 Airbus A321neos and 4 A220-300s

Spirit Airlines

39 Airbus A320neos

United Airlines

1 Airbus A321neo

FlightGlobal reports that while the total number of commercial aircraft grounded due to Pratt & Whitney’s recall of PW1000-series engines has seen a slight decrease in recent months, the proportion of grounded jets has stayed nearly constant, hovering around 30% of the fleet.

Related


Pratt & Whitney Looks Toward New Technologies To Improve GTF Engine Durability

Pratt & Whitney is bracing itself for more compensation payouts in 2025 for ongoing GTF issues

Problems Affecting PW1000G Engines

Photo: Airbus

The Pratt & Whitney PW1000G engines are facing challenges due to a manufacturing defect involving contaminated powdered metal in high-pressure turbine and compressor components. This issue has led to widespread inspections and repairs, grounding hundreds of aircraft and causing significant operational disruptions expected to continue through 2026.

Engines operating in harsh environments like hot, humid, or sandy regions have experienced accelerated wear, leading to more frequent maintenance and unscheduled removals. Pratt & Whitney’s maintenance network is under strain, working to expand capacity to handle the backlog of repairs and reduce aircraft downtime.

Business Type

Engine Maker

Date Founded

January 1, 1925

CEO

Christopher Calio

Headquarters Location

East Hartford, United States


These problems have caused financial strain on airlines, with some reporting significant profit drops due to grounded fleets. Additionally, recent strikes by Pratt & Whitney workers have further delayed production and repairs, extending the timeline for full recovery, which is anticipated in the coming years.



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U.S.-Mexico Aviation Tensions and the Reconfiguration of Cross-Border Airline Partnerships: A Strategic Investment Analysis

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The U.S.-Mexico aviation landscape has entered a period of profound transformation. Regulatory shifts, geopolitical tensions, and the unraveling of long-standing airline partnerships—most notably the Delta-Aeroméxico joint venture—have created a volatile environment for investors. As the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) enforces stricter oversight of cross-border operations, airlines and investors must navigate a complex web of risks and opportunities.

Regulatory Shifts and the Fragmentation of Joint Ventures

The DOT’s 2023 decision to revoke antitrust immunity for the Delta-Aeroméxico partnership marked a turning point. Citing Mexico’s airport capacity restrictions—particularly the forced relocation of cargo operations from Mexico City International Airport (MEX) to the underdeveloped Felipe Ángeles International Airport (NLU)—the U.S. government argued that these actions violated the 2015 U.S.-Mexico Air Transport Agreement. This move, aligned with the Trump administration’s “America First” agenda, has forced the joint venture into a wind-down by October 2024, fragmenting a once-integrated transborder network.

For Delta Air Lines (DAL), the loss of Aeroméxico’s 15% stake in Volaris—a key regional competitor—has complicated its dominance in the Mexican market. Meanwhile, Aeroméxico (AEROMEX.MX) faces a dual challenge: diminished U.S. connectivity and rising competition from low-cost carriers like Volaris and VivaAerobus. The airline’s 30-day stock win rate of 42.86% in 2025 reflects market uncertainty, though historical data suggests potential for recovery.

Financial Implications and Currency Volatility

The Mexican peso’s depreciation against the U.S. dollar has exacerbated financial risks for both airlines. Delta’s 2025 quarterly report shows resilience, with $16.6 billion in operating revenue and a 12.6% operating margin, but its long-term exposure to currency fluctuations remains a concern. Aeroméxico, which relies on U.S.-sourced aircraft parts and crew expenses, has seen costs rise by 15–20% since 2023.

Volaris, meanwhile, has capitalized on the shifting dynamics. The low-cost carrier transported 10.77 million passengers in the first half of 2025—a 8.2% year-over-year increase—by expanding its route network and leveraging Aeroméxico’s weakened U.S. connectivity. For investors, Volaris’ 3.1% international passenger growth underscores its potential as a long-term play.

Geopolitical Risks and Strategic Realignment

The U.S.-Mexico trade tensions of 2025 have escalated beyond aviation. The reinstatement of a 17% tariff on Mexican fresh tomatoes in July 2025 and the looming threat of a 30% tariff on all Mexican imports by August 1 have created a toxic mix of uncertainty. For airlines, the ripple effects include supply chain disruptions and regulatory instability. The U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, while not directly targeting aircraft, indirectly raise production costs for manufacturers like Boeing and Embraer, affecting carriers reliant on U.S. suppliers.

Aeroméxico has responded by sourcing aircraft parts from non-U.S. suppliers and exploring Mexico’s aerospace sector for maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services. This strategic shift could reduce reliance on U.S. facilities and mitigate tariff-related penalties. Delta, in contrast, has focused on diversifying its route network and hedging 60% of its fuel needs to offset rising costs.

The Mexican government’s potential retaliatory measures under the USMCA framework—ranging from tariffs on U.S. aviation services to stricter airport capacity controls—add another layer of complexity. Investors must monitor these developments closely, as they could trigger a sell-off in airlines with heavy cross-border exposure.

Market Projections and Investment Strategies

The Mexican aviation market, valued at $7.96 billion in 2024, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.60% through 2034, reaching $12.48 billion by 2034. This growth is driven by the expansion of low-cost carriers, the recovery of international travel, and the FAA’s reinstatement of Mexico’s Category 1 air safety status in 2025.

For investors, the path forward lies in adaptability. Airlines with diversified networks, strong balance sheets, and proactive hedging strategies are better positioned to navigate volatility. Delta’s 2025 guidance of $5.25–$6.25 in EPS, coupled with a 25% dividend increase, signals confidence in its long-term trajectory. Aeroméxico’s efforts to expand into Central America and the Caribbean could unlock new revenue streams, but its stock remains a higher-risk bet.

Conclusion: Resilience Over Dominance

The U.S.-Mexico aviation crisis is a microcosm of the broader clash between geopolitical interests and globalized commerce. For airlines, the dissolution of joint ventures and regulatory scrutiny demand a recalibration of strategies. For investors, the key takeaway is clear: resilience—rather than dominance—will define the winners in this high-stakes environment.

As the aviation sector adapts to a more fragmented and protectionist landscape, those who prioritize diversification, liquidity, and strategic realignment will emerge stronger. The August 1 tariff deadline and the DOT’s final ruling on antitrust immunity by October 2025 are critical junctures to monitor. In an era of geopolitical brinkmanship, adaptability is not just an advantage—it is a necessity.



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