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A Solid Long-Term Play in the Resilient Rail Industry Backed by Cramer’s Bullish Call

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Wabtec Corporation (WAB) has emerged as a pillar of stability in the global rail industry, driven by robust financial performance, strategic innovation, and a dividend history that has consistently rewarded shareholders. Jim Cramer’s recent “Mad Money” endorsement—urging investors to “Grab Some Wabtec”—adds momentum to this already compelling story. Let’s dissect why WAB is positioned for long-term success and why now could be an ideal time to buy.

Cramer’s Endorsement: A Vote of Confidence

In his June 25, 2025 Mad Money Lightning Round, Jim Cramer explicitly recommended buying Wabtec, contrasting it with his bearish stance on Workday (WDAY). This call underscores Wabtec’s role as a leader in a sector primed for growth. Cramer’s rationale likely hinges on Wabtec’s dual focus on freight and transit rail solutions, which are critical to global supply chains and urban mobility.

Financial Fortitude: Outperforming in a Volatile Market

Wabtec’s Q1 2025 results彰显其坚韧实力:- Revenue grew 4.5% year-over-year to $2.61 billion, with both freight (up 4.2%) and transit (up 5.3%) segments contributing.- Adjusted EPS surged 20.6% to $2.28, benefiting from margin expansion (adjusted operating margin rose 1.9 points to 21.7%).- Backlog strength: The 12-month backlog increased by $486 million to $8.196 billion, reflecting solid demand visibility.

This performance is particularly notable amid macroeconomic headwinds, including rising interest rates and supply chain disruptions. Wabtec’s ability to sustain profitability while expanding its addressable market—bolstered by its April 2024 acquisition of Evident’s inspection technologies—positions it to capitalize on long-term rail modernization trends.

Market Dominance and Global Reach

Wabtec’s geographic diversification is a key strength:- International revenue growth has averaged high single digits over two years, driven by demand in Europe, Asia, and Australia. – Strategic partnerships: A $1.8 billion 10-year agreement with Vale to enhance locomotive efficiency on Brazil’s Carajás Railway, and collaboration with Australia’s ARTC to improve rail interoperability, highlight its global footprint.

In the freight segment, Wabtec’s services revenue (up 16.9% year-over-year) reflects the growing demand for predictive maintenance and digital solutions—a trend accelerated by its Evident acquisition, which doubled its AI-driven inspection capabilities.

Sustainable Tech: Leading the Green Transition

Wabtec is at the forefront of rail’s sustainability shift:- Green Friction Technology: Deployed in Paris, this innovation reduces particulate emissions in rail tunnels, addressing environmental concerns.- Hydrogen Fuel Cell Locomotives: Aligning with regulatory trends like California’s diesel locomotive ban (effective 2024) and Scotland’s net-zero goals via hydrogen trains.- Digital Intelligence: $181 million in freight segment sales came from digital solutions, underscoring the shift toward data-driven efficiency.

These initiatives not only meet ESG mandates but also create recurring revenue streams through services and upgrades—a moat against competitors.

Dividend Stability: A Reliable Income Stream

Wabtec has increased its dividend every year since 2022:- 2020–2025 Dividend Growth: From $0.12 per quarter to $0.25, totaling $1.00 annually in 2025, with a yield of ~0.5% (based on a $211.78 stock price). – Dividend Cover: A healthy 8.3x ratio ensures payouts are sustainable even in downturns.

Valuation: Attractive Relative to Peers

While Wabtec’s P/E ratio of 31.47 is higher than peers like PACCAR (11.94) or Cummins (11.57), this reflects its premium positioning in high-growth sustainability and digital rail solutions. Key comparisons:- Market Cap: $34.52 billion vs. PACCAR’s $49.57 billion—Wabtec’s smaller size allows for faster innovation adoption.- Backlog-to-Sales Ratio: Wabtec’s $8.196 billion 12-month backlog (3.1x annualized sales) outpaces many peers, indicating strong future revenue.

Risks to Consider

  • Supply Chain Volatility: Higher accounts receivable reduced operating cash flow conversion to 43% (vs. 84% in 2024). Management aims to improve this through better working capital management.
  • Currency Fluctuations: International revenue exposes Wabtec to exchange rate risks, though hedging strategies mitigate this.
  • Economic Downturn: Reduced freight volumes in a recession could pressure margins, though services and aftermarket sales offer resilience.

Final Analysis: Buy WAB with a Long-Term Lens

Wabtec’s combination of strong fundamentals, sustainable tech leadership, and dividend reliability makes it a compelling buy. Cramer’s endorsement aligns with its strategic positioning in a sector ripe for modernization. While risks exist, Wabtec’s backlog, global partnerships, and innovation pipeline suggest it will weather macro challenges.

Investment Recommendation: Buy WAB for a portfolio seeking stability and growth in infrastructure. A price target of $230–$240 (based on 2025 EPS guidance midpoint of $8.65 and a P/E multiple of 27x) offers ~8–14% upside. Hold for 3–5 years to capture the full potential of rail’s green transition.

In a world where reliable infrastructure underpins economic resilience, Wabtec is more than a stock—it’s a stake in the future of global transportation.



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Rail & Road

Hanoi speeds up metro and railway industry development

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Illustrative photo (H. Hieu)

The Hanoi Department of Construction announced it is accelerating steps to meet the goal of developing 15 urban railway lines, totaling about 600km, by 2045.

The city is currently rushing to complete procedures to begin construction on two urban railway lines in 2025, inclulding Line 2, Nam Thang Long – Tran Hung Dao section, 11.5km long, and Line 5, Van Cao – Hoa Lac section, 38.43km long.

This is part of Hanoi People’s Committee Resolution No188 to develop urban railways in three phases.

From 2024 to 2030, the city aims to complete about 96.8km, including Lines 2, 3, and 5, while preparing investments for 301km of Lines 1, extended 2A to Xuan Mai, Lines 4, 6, 7, 8, and those connecting satellite cities. The total estimated capital for this phase is about $14.6 billion.

From 2031 to 2035, Hanoi will complete an additional 301km of urban railways, with an estimated capital of about $22.57 billion. Once completed, urban railways will handle 35-40 percent of public passenger transport.

From 2036 to 2045, the city will complete the remaining 200.7km supplemented under the Capital Master Plan and revised General Plan. The estimated capital for this phase is $18.25 billion.

Developing the urban railway system will not only ease Hanoi’s urban traffic pressure but also promote sustainable, modern, and connected urban development. Once completed, the urban railway network will serve as the backbone of the public transport system, driving development in both the inner city and satellite urban areas.

Dang Huy Dong, Director of the Institute for Planning and Development Research, stated that completing the urban railway system in just under 12 years is a daunting task. 

It may not be feasible without integrating TOD (transit-oriented development) urban models along metro station routes. This requires exceptional management that goes beyond current investment and construction regulations.

According to Dong, without solutions for management mechanisms and funding, continued reliance on ODA loans will hinder Hanoi’s ability to complete its historic urban railway mission. To secure funding, TOD planning and auctions for real estate investment rights in these areas are essential.

Public transportation includes various types, but only urban railways can effectively address urban traffic issues in cities with populations of 5 million or more.

Hanoi will conduct a review of land ownership and usage along the corridors, project locations, and TOD planning areas of approved urban railway lines.

TOD area is developed around stations and stops of public transportation, focusing on creating living, working, and recreational spaces closely connected to these transport routes. The goal of TOD is to encourage the use of public transportation, reduce traffic congestion, and foster sustainable urban development.

VND17,509 billion railway complex

Hanoi People’s Committee has submitted a proposal to the Prime Minister regarding the location, scale, and boundaries of a railway industry complex project in southern Hanoi (in communes of Chuyen My and Ung Hoa, Hanoi, covering about 250 hectares).

Previously, Vietnam Railways Corporation proposed that competent authorities review and approve the investment policy for this project.

The proposed railway industry complex is a multifunctional facility, including a factory for manufacturing and assembling vehicles, equipment, and spare parts; a research center; a maintenance and repair center; infrastructure connections to the national railway; and supporting facilities.

The preliminary total investment for the railway industry complex is VND17,509 billion. Public investment will fund the railway line connecting to the national railway, technical infrastructure, an R&D center, and state-supported components. 

State capital injected into enterprises will fund the assembly plant and related components, while inviting investors to participate and collaborate in business operations.

If approved by authorities, the railway industry complex project will be prepared for investment within one year and constructed within three years to complete Phase 1 by 2029.

According to Vietnam Railways Corporation, the complex aims to produce domestically and gradually localize hardware and software components for information, signaling, and power supply systems; and master operations and maintenance. And it will produce certain spare parts for high-speed railways. It will also involve technology transfer, equipment investment, and production of locomotives and carriages for national railways with speeds below 200 km/h, as well as purchasing designs and manufacturing for urban railways.

The project will also establish a functional area for major repairs of all railway vehicles and equipment, initially focusing on national and urban railways.

N. Huyen 




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Trial finds ‘world-first’ system protects tracks from damage

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A world-first system of shock absorbers made from recycled tyres has been shown to be effective in protecting railway tracks from damage.  

The new technology was tested over a two-year period by a collaborative team from the University of Technology Sydney (UTS), Sydney Trains, Transport for NSW, and industry partners EcoFlex and Bridgestone.

Researchers installed track sections with a rubber underlay made from tyres alongside conventional track sections for a direct comparison, monitoring vibration, track settlement, and ballast degradation at a live Sydney Trains freight line in Chullora. 

The results showed that the sections with the rubber underlay showed “significantly less degradation and greater stability”.  

To make the shock absorbers, tyre cells are placed in a specific layout made from recycled tyres infilled with waste materials such as spent ballast and coal wash. 

Recycled rubber grids cast from worn out conveyor belts from mining sites are also placed directly beneath the ballast.  

The technology addresses a long-standing engineering challenge: the high cost of maintaining conventional tracks. 

UTS researcher Distinguished Professor Buddhima Indraratna, the original inventor of this technique, and Director of the UTS Transport Research Centre, said the rubber-based underlay effectively protects the ballast, preventing it from being pulverised and extending the life of the entire track structure. 

“Additionally, the underlay controls the way the train load is distributed to the deeper, softer and often wet soil beneath the track, preventing unacceptable soil settlement and weakening of the overlying track.  

“This translates directly to lower maintenance costs, fewer track closures for the public, and improved network reliability.” 

Dr Richard Kelly, Chief Technical Principal for Geotechnical Engineering at SMEC Australia and an advisor on this project, said: “If widely adopted by railway asset owners, this will save Australian rail industry millions of dollars annually by reducing the demand for freshly quarried rock for ballast that is very expensive and not carbon friendly.” 

The project also provides a novel way to address tyre waste – with over 50 million end-of-life tyres generated in Australia each year.  

“We have proven we can turn a significant waste stream into a high-value asset that makes our critical infrastructure more resilient and advances the circular economy,” said Professor Cholachat Rujikiatkamjorn from the UTS Transport Research Centre. 

The research team will now expand its work through a $740,000 Australian Research Council Linkage Project grant, testing the technology in more challenging locations – such as at bridge approaches and junctions, where abrupt changes in track stiffness create high-impact zones prone to rapid degradation. 



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Union Pacific exploring Norfolk Southern rail takeover, reports say

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A Norfolk Southern train in North Carolina in 2022. Union Pacific is reportedly looking at buying its competitor, a deal that would shake up the U.S. freight rail landscape if it materializes.Jonathan Drake/Reuters

Union Pacific, the largest U.S. freight railroad operator, is exploring a possible acquisition of Norfolk Southern to create a US$200-billion coast-to-coast rail network, a person familiar with the matter said.

Talks are in early stages, the person said, with no guarantee talks will progress or that any deal would pass what would be expected to be a lengthy, detailed regulatory review. The two companies declined to comment.

Any deal to unite two of the six largest freight rail operators in North America is likely to draw intense regulatory scrutiny. Major shippers in the steel, chemical and grain industries are expected to lobby against any further concentration in an industry that has consolidated from over 100 Class I railroads in the 1950s to just six today.

Union Pacific UNP-N shares fell 2.7 per cent in Friday afternoon trading, while Norfolk Southern NSC-N rose 1.52 per cent.

A combination would mark a shift in the U.S. freight rail landscape, creating a single-line network stretching from coast to coast, changing the current divide between western and eastern regional operators.

Norfolk is recovering from a tumultuous past couple of years that included the firing of its previous CEO amid ethics investigations, a boardroom battle with activist Ancora, and a train derailment that cost the company about $1.4-billion.

A merger between Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern would create the first modern West-to-East single-line freight railroad in the U.S.

Earlier this year, Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena said a transcontinental merger would be good for customers, eliminating the need for interchanges between carriers in Chicago – a longstanding bottleneck – and reducing costly delays for shippers.

But critics warn that such consolidation could reduce competition, a possible concern for regulators. With fewer major players in the market, shippers may face higher costs and diminished service options.

“We suspect certain shipper groups could get vocal on the perceived lost competition a merger would bring,” Barclays analyst Brandon R. Oglenski said.

Discussions between the two operators, first disclosed by Semafor, spurred speculation that competitors would also consider concentration.

“History teaches that mergers and acquisitions within the railroad industry will inspire and motivate additional M&A,” said Mike Steenhoek, executive director of the Soy Transportation Coalition.

That happened earlier this decade when Canadian Pacific offered to acquire Kansas City Southern, which prompted CP’s main competitor – Canadian National – to submit their own offer to acquire Kansas City Southern.

Ultimately the Canadian National offer was not allowed to proceed, and Canadian Pacific did acquire Kansas City Southern in 2023 – creating the first railroad to link Canada, the U.S. and Mexico.

In 2024, Union Pacific led the industry with $24.3-billion in revenue, followed by BNSF (privately held, owned by Berkshire Hathaway), CSX CSX-Q, Canadian National CNR-T, Norfolk and Canadian Pacific Kansas City CP-T.

“The energy and momentum toward the remaining two U.S. based Class I railroads – BNSF and CSX – pursuing a merger would be considerable,” Steenhoek said.

A regulatory decision could take 16 to 22 months, with merging carriers required to notify the Surface Transportation Board three to six months before filing an application, followed by a year-long evidentiary review and a final ruling within 90 days, Oglenski said.

A potential Union Pacific acquisition of Norfolk Southern could have material synergy, he said.

“Any deal would face serious review from regulators,” said Emily Nasseff Mitsch, equity analyst at CFRA.



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