Over the past decade, the pricing-centric revenue management model has gained prominence within the industry. It’s a concept that promotes maintaining availability across all channels, even as demand is surging, relying solely on dynamic pricing to manage booking behaviour. This approach, favoured for its operational flexibility, requires that rooms always remain open to book, and availability should never be curtailed, even if it means selling out on a single night and preventing longer length-of-stay guests.

However, the core assumption underpinning this pricing methodology, namely that rate flexibility alone can optimise performance, overlooks several critical elements of effective revenue management. Most notably among these is the strategic control of inventory, which when neglected, diminishes profitability and operational integrity.

The Central Misstep: Pricing Without Context

While the ability to apply dynamic pricing is now widely accepted and easily facilitated by most contemporary systems, this practice alone does not constitute a water-tight revenue strategy. Without inventory controls, hotels risk undermining their overall performance, especially during compression periods.

Consider the risk of accepting high-rated, short-stay bookings that displace lower-rated, longer-stay guests. On paper, the rate appears profitable but in practice, it may compromise total revenue. Hotels that rely solely on surge pricing mechanisms frequently fail to account for this nuance and this often leads to significant lost revenue for hoteliers.

Advanced revenue strategies incorporate not only rate responsiveness but also intentional decision-making around which bookings to accept or reject. The most effective systems consider the total value of a booking, including stay duration, stay-through demand, ancillary spend, and displacement cost, before allocating limited inventory.

Why Inventory Control Matters

Such inventory control strategies rely on sophisticated analytics to predict and evaluate all possible length-of-stay permutations across time. These predictions are highly complex and cannot be reliably executed using simple business rules; instead, they depend on proven, evolving algorithms.

However, when done right, they help hoteliers to extend demand from high-occupancy nights into adjacent shoulder periods, and manage availability based on forecasted value rather than simply the offered rate and maintain guest trust by signalling genuine scarcity rather than resorting to excessive rate inflation.

A number of pricing methodologies, such as surge pricing, treat each night in isolation without forecasting the total number of guests who will occupy rooms on a given date, regardless of their check-in or check-out patterns. As a result, availability often closes out based on the sequence in which bookings happen to arrive, rather than as part of a deliberate, strategic revenue management plan by the hotel. By contrast, advanced forecasting methods analyse demand patterns by room type, booking window, and stay composition. This enables decisions that are both more granular and more forward-looking. Failing to consider these dynamics leads to suboptimal outcomes, such as a sold-out Wednesday evening that blocks out potential guests seeking two- or three-night stays.

One established concept that is gaining wider recognition in revenue management is ‘last room value’ (LRV), sometimes referred to as a ‘Rate Hurdle’ or ‘Bid Price’. This metric establishes the minimum acceptable revenue a booking must generate to warrant its acceptance, especially when availability is limited. LRV is not a rate, but a dynamic threshold reflective of forecasted demand, booking pace, and price sensitivity that serves as a north star for which business is best to accept. Unlike pricing-centric models that focus primarily on maximising Average Daily Rate (ADR), LRV is designed to optimise Revenue per Available Room (RevPAR) by protecting inventory and ensuring each booking delivers maximum value, especially for the last remaining rooms. Importantly, LRV considers the value of each night within a requested stay and may accept a multi-night booking (e.g., two or three nights) while rejecting a single-night request if the overall contribution to revenue is higher. This ensures that every booking aligns with the hotel’s revenue strategy and long-term profitability.

By embedding rate hurdles into pricing and availability decisions, hoteliers can move beyond the bluntness of manual controls and shift from an ADR-focused pricing philosophy to one grounded in RevPAR optimisation. Value-driven systems ensure that inventory is only sold when it meets minimum profitability thresholds, supporting stronger inventory stewardship and enabling the prioritisation of high-value demand to achieve the optimal business mix.

The Hidden Cost of Pricing-Centric Revenue Strategies

The real problem with price-centric revenue management methodologies is not just missed revenue, but a systematic undervaluation of the asset. Without automated inventory controls, pricing becomes one-dimensional and disconnected from broader demand considerations. Strong inventory strategies prioritise extracting the maximum value from each room night, recognising that strategic acceptance decisions help preserve profitability not only during sell-out periods but also across the full booking horizon.

Over time, these issues can weaken a hotel’s market position and make it harder to adapt to change.

Despite today’s fast-changing environment, where careful decision-making matters more than ever, dynamic, variable open or surge pricing mechanisms are often presented as a one-size-fits-all solution to a problem that always demands nuance.

Strategy Over Simplicity

The price-centric revenue method, though administratively convenient, risks diluting the strategic control hoteliers require to drive profitability. A truly effective approach to revenue management is grounded in scientific forecasting, precise controls and intentional decision-making. The benefit of operating an automated decision system is that the solution will react to any changes in business conditions, account for the dynamics of demand and wash by arrival date and length of stay (i.e. network effects) and avoid any controls being missed and not deployed on time.

The question for hoteliers is not whether they can continue adjusting rates on the fly, but whether they are willing to relinquish strategic control in doing so. In an increasingly complex trading landscape, it is clear that deliberate strategy offers a more dependable route to sustained revenue performance than reactive pricing alone.